paul ryan is on the ticket. there's some thinking there and the polling is relatively close. he would also -- if he didn't win ohio, the run of all the swing states, colorado, virginia, north carolina, florida, et cetera. >> wisconsin is interesting. we neglected wisconsin, it's very important. wisconsin is a state where we had this recall election in the past. the ground game for the republicans is very strong. a lot of things about obama has been the ground game they have developed since 2008. it's been so efficient. so many field offices. wisconsin is the state where they had the recent recall where republicans invested in the get out the vote. it could be where you get the surprise. >> it's strong for progressives and organized labor because not just the governor's recall election, but the state house recall election, which actually went the other way. i have said from the beginning, which is a nice thing to be able to say, no matter what happens in the news and the polls, here is going to be my analysis of it for the rest of the election. i's going to come down to electi